About

Lebanon's environmental damage is usually reported one incident at a time: a fire this week, a dump site next month, a beach closure in summer. Each story fades. The cumulative trajectory — what twenty-four more years of the same produces, and what it does to the people living in it — is almost never shown as a single picture.

This simulator puts the pressures in one place so they can be moved, isolated and fast-forwarded. It answers three questions: what does 2050 look like if nothing changes, which single factor is doing the most damage, and at what point does the damage stop being something we can undo.

The projections come from a transparent model, not a forecast. Every assumption is listed on the methodology page and the baseline figures sit in one file so they can be corrected as real national data becomes available.

If you have official sources — air quality monitoring, ministry reports, health registry data — the model should be anchored to those instead.